Meanwhile, sitting at the
edge of Europe, the Ottoman Empire, predecessor of modern Turkey and the
superpower of the time, debated whether to take advantage of the European
strife and invade. Other than a brief,
bloody war with the Hapsburgs in Hungary, they did not. They had their own internal political
conflicts at the time, and for us that was lucky. For had they intervened, the fighting
Europeans would have undoubtedly coalesced to resist; the emergence of church-state
separation at the Peace of Westphalia would have been aborted or indefinitely
delayed; the legitimacy of absolute monarchy and of religious intolerance would
have been reaffirmed. In short, all the
necessary steps, including the exhaustion and loss of legitimacy of religious
intolerance, that led to the Enlightenment and to the American and French Revolutions
might have been indefinitely delayed or might never have occurred. I say we were lucky; the Germans of the time
would have felt far differently.
That is the kind of
debate we in Europe and America are having with ourselves about the goings on
in Egypt, the Middle East and Afghanistan.
Atrocities are occurring, religious intolerance and strife are
everywhere, absolutist regimes are struggling viciously for their existence. We are justifiably horrified by each occurrence
and wish we could do something, anything, to end the violence. What we don’t “get” is that we are witnessing
the bloody birth of a modern Middle East.
Islamist traditionalists and absolute monarchies everywhere are feeling the
pressures of modernity and are fighting fiercely for their existence against
equally violent reformers. Many Middle
East scholars have dubbed this the Arab Civil War, an aftermath of the collapse
of the Ottoman Empire, but that does not go far enough. It is far closer to an Islamic Protestant
Reformation. And like the European
Protestant Reformation, if left alone, it too may require 100 years of bloody
conflict ending in exhaustion for its resolution.
It is highly tempting
to treat the whole process as a necessary evil, required for the traditional Middle
East to catch up with the rest of the world.
But we live in an interconnected, global world where what happens in
Egypt or Syria or Iran has world-wide repercussions. Extremists on each side in each country
struggle through lobbying or through terrorist acts to capture our attention
and gain our support. If we could build
a wall around the Middle East, we might.
But we can’t.
The wisest course seems
the approach we are pursuing now, though it is morally painful and criticized by many good hearted
people. Intervene only when we
absolutely must, and then, only reluctantly and cautiously. We are observers of a process we cannot fully
understand, and too much intervention is possibly harmful to us, to the
participants, and to their descendants.
The difficulty, as always, is to settle the meaning of “must.” Are excessive atrocities by themselves
sufficient for justification, or are national security interests required? After all, atrocities to the point of
exhaustion and revulsion are what led to our modern world. A constant pressure to minimize them without
ourselves becoming just another participant seems called for. We cannot become either just another warring
faction or the aborter of necessary resolution.
We are, and must continue to be, only witnesses to the birth of another
modern world.
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